Saturday, 9 November 2024

Should I sell my ~$400K UOB at $35.69?

I have been accumulating UOB for some time, as its quarterly results and price seems to be lagging both DBS and OCBC. Expanses remain high from its Citi acquisitions which should be good for the longer term, but depressing net profit in the short run...


Finally the day came for its Q3 results and its eye popping 7% rise yesterday. Though the last 3 hours on Fri saw a price pullback from the all-time high of $36.60, the close was still a very respectable price of $35.69


Fri's volume was very high at 14 million, than its 52 week average volume of just 3 million. This shows that the BBs are aggressively accumulating UOB with the hope of selling it even higher. Coupled with China govt under-whelming announcements to prop up its weak economy, there could still remain some price strength next week



Still a bird at hand is better than two in the bush, and it's never wrong to take some money off the table. Surely we need to reward ourselves a little, eating some nice food and enjoying life for our hard work  😅

Press on Financial Warrior, YOU Mighty Man of Valour!

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Disclaimer: This blog is provided for information purposes and should not be used as an enticement to invest in any financial products

Friday, 8 November 2024

Single Day ~$50K unrealized profits w Banks

Both UOB and OCBC announced good Q3 results today, plus DBS yesterday. While many would agree that these are all great results, still an eye-popping single day increase of around 9% for UOB and 2% each for OCBC and DBS has been quite pleasantly surprising! I couldn't resist to sell some OCBC to take some profit, with upcoming weekend & possible China govt positive announcements, which might pull some funds back into undervalued HK markets



The USA election win for Trump has been also unexpected, and I can't help but wonder why would Americans elect such an immoral person as president. Complicated & different approaches to policies like Israel/Hamas war, Abortion, Tariffs, Tax & Regulations and LGBTQ can be debatable on what should be the correct/better choices, but raping  woman is just immorally WRONG! Apathetic & misinformed voters could prove to be a slow spiral downfall of a global superpower



I was actually expecting a close & hung election, with Harris winning & Trump disputing with recounts. Unfortunately, it was a big victory for the Republicans with wins in Senate & possibly the House. There goes the S&P500 pullback to purchase more, and once again we are seeing all-time high prices. Are u also waiting for an opportune time to buy more S&P500 for long-term investments? Let me know in the comments below, thanks 😁

It's going to be a scary & unpredictable outlook for the future 4 years. Who knows that Trump might decide after 4 years to continue on for more. He is the "King" now, controlling Executive, Legislature and the Courts. Hoping for the best & preparing for the worst  😅

Press on Financial Warrior, YOU Mighty Man of Valour!

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Disclaimer: This blog is provided for information purposes and should not be used as an enticement to invest in any financial products

Saturday, 13 July 2024

Tracker Fund of Hong Kong 2800.HK

With the S&P500 breaching all time highs, I was hesitatant to buy more VUSD.L ETF, and instead looking at other more attractive low hanging fruits. Naturally after the largest USA economy, we can look at the next No. 2, which is China. Being a Chinese and knowing some history of China and the Chinese language, I guess there's some slight advantage in trying to understand China vs the West. Also in my previous work, Singapore has been a key player in trying to bridge/work between the USA and China. China market is a bit complicated/restricted and still in infancy stage compared to S&P500, so naturally a more understandable and tradeable would instead be the Hong Kong market.


The Tracker Fund 2800.HK is one of the most traded stock in the Hong Kong market, with daily volumes around 300M with value of HK$5.7B (S$1B). This is equivalent to the daily value of the entire Singapore market! Besides it is also composed from various China technology stocks like Alibaba/Tencent/Meituan/JD/Xiaomi/BYD and financials like AIA/HSBC/BOC/CCB/ICBC.

Source: HK market on 12 July 2024


Source: TraHK Full Holdings Monthly



I actually had a Buy queue at HK$18 on 10 July, but unfortunately it closed at HK$18.02 instead. The next two days saw a strong 4% rise, possibly from China govt interventions or USA inflation numbers. With the 3rd China Plenum in mid July, there could be more policies upcoming to support the economy and battered property sector. 



2800.HK has dropped almost 50% since Jan 2018, and might be forming a double bottom pattern to stage a price reversal recovery. Would it form a higher-low and eventually form a higher-high for a trend reversal? Only time will tell  😅

Press on Financial Warrior, YOU Mighty Man of Valour!

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Disclaimer: This blog is provided for information purposes and should not be used as an enticement to invest in any financial products

Friday, 12 July 2024

OCBC ~$300K ... sell abit at $15.3

 I have been slowly accumulating OCBC for a couple of years to reach a sizeable amount of ~$300K investment. For local Singaporeans, OCBC needs no further introduction, as one of the 3 largest banks in Singapore.



Record financial numbers seems to be the norm these days, from tailwinds of high interest rates and strong economy. Record Net profit of $2B, low NPL of 1% and high CET1 of 16.2%, which are all great numbers. Upcoming Q2 results on 2 Aug, should show continued strength and a nice 42c dividend, making a good 5.5% yield (12m TTM), even at current all time high price of $15.3

Source: OCBC business update

As price continues to scales new all time highs, there's some selling seen, which is normal, as some traders/investors take some profit. From the daily chart, we can see price action of slight pull back as prices reach new highs. As the old saying goes, there's never a wrong time to take some profit off the table, and lock-in some realised gains. Markets are volatile and uncertainties are unforseeable. Paper money is still not your money, until it ends up in your bank account 😂



In the weekly chart, the uptrend is still intact with stochastics at overbought region. Prices are breaking convincingly away from consolidation price range of $12-14



Would prices continue to move higher? I hope so and it seems likely too  😎

Thursday, 11 July 2024

~$100K investment ... nimbling Capland Ascott Trust CLAS

I have held Ascott since the IPO days of Ascendas Hospitality Trust (which is quite a number of years 😂). While my personal preferance is in industrial instead of hospitality reits, due to their higher yield in general and a more familiar sector, I have tried to diversify somewhat to gain some other reits exposure.


Then came the infamous Covid pandemic and global travel was devastated. 3+ years on and the hospitality sector is still on this painful recovery. Of course the rapid rise of USA interest rates was a double whammy to highly leverage reits/trusts.

Still some green shoots of hope are starting to grow in its financials, with gross revenue, profit and DPS steadily increasing into a respectable 6.64% dividend yield for FY2023. 
From its latest 1Q 2024 business update, the good news seems to be continuing with possibly good 2Q results releasing on 26 July, together with 3.1c dividends estimated, forming 7% dividend yield 12months TTM.

Source: Ascott annual report & business update



Fed chair Jerome Powell has been speaking to Congress these two days, and is hinting on lowering interest rates soon. From CME data, there's 68% probability of a Fed cut of 25bps in Sep. Personally, I think due to USA elections in Nov, the Fed will instead choose to act independent and do nothing until after elections.

Source: CME Group

Today Reits staged a strong 4% rebound with MIT and MLT leading the way. Similarly CLAS ended up with 1.7% gain. Will it eventually form a double/triple bottom chart pattern? Only time will tell 😅